MAY 26 2012 00:00h
What will happen to HDZ now when Tomislav Karamarko became the new party president is the question less relevant than this one - what will happen to Croatia in three and a half years, when people get tired of Kukuriku coalition, and yet, this gloomy, careful, tricky, newly uncovered right oriented politician who have tails relating on numerous affairs, becomes a prime minister.
In a docile area of Kumrovec, police will probably start to hunt down old partisans who keep old partisans' hats in their closets so those old partisans would stop playing harmonica and dancing ''Zikino kolo''. When they rest from hunt in Kumrovec, they will keep hunting ghosts responsible for Croatian victims after the World War II. Zoran Milanovic, as the political follower of the Communist alliance, will have to hide himself somewhere after he apologizes himself in public for the victims killed by communists after the end of War. SDSS can say goodbye to everyone. The best thing for them would probably be to be suspended from their party activity. It is pretty sure they won't be participating coalition with HDZ, since according Karamarko's vision, cooperation in-between those two parties would be humiliating for HDZ. Croatians will finally be on their own, and they will be able to declare themselves as Croatian nationalists. That's the way things seem to be if you read Karamarko's statements of the last couple of days before the election.
Based on those statements you can realize that under the prime minister's reign of Tomislav Karamarko Croatia just won't be the same. It will become some weird state where reign interferes in history, and then a little more history, and eventually - only history. Croatian history has unsolved conflicts, there was injustice that has never been penalized, there were crimes who that spent too much time waiting for justice to come. But clearing out the historic conflicts cannot be a political future. Future of Croatia doesn't depend on who will ever apologize oneself for the crimes committed during Tito's reign or to declare Tito as a pure criminal. The future of Croatia doesn't depend on possible mass declaration on nationalistic level, because whoever wants to do such thing, he can do it today as well. In a country of democracy, and Croatia is one, old partisans have a right to visit Kumrovec and play harmonica, no matter how bizarre or tragicomic this thing looks like.
In a democratic country, and Croatia is one, every Croatian party, even ones with Serbian mark, can participate the government activity because it is the part of constitutional and political system. When we talk about SDSS it isn't so irrelevant to mention that without this party's activity in the former government, negotiations with the EU wouldn't have been finalized. If, for example, Milorad Pupovac had answered the proposition of Kukuriku coalition and the president Josipovic to leave HDZ in order to enable pre-term elections, negotiations would still have been in process, and our EU membership would still have been uncertain. When Sanader invited Pupovac to join the Government, Karamarko consciously joined the alliance with SDSS. He could have, for example, refused to participate this, as he said recently, humiliation of HDZ. But, that however, wasn't an option.
Karamarko likes to revoke himself on Franjo Tudjman, but he obviously doesn't remember Tudjman’s politics of conciliation. He doesn't remember that Tudjman always kept some Serbian nationalists close to his circle. He doesn't remember that Tudjman didn't allow alteration of the name of Zagreb's Marshall Tito's Square. Karamarko's statements foretell a policy of conflicts and policy of separation... It can have a certain repercussion among right-oriented parties as those could join Karamarko's HDZ, counting on a firm hand that could oppose to the left-wing, but this kind of policy would produce more and more conflicts on the state level. Furthermore, this firm right-wing spent years as a devoted associate of Stipe Mesic...
But the campaign for HDZ president concerned the most. There were rumors about pressures, blackmails and threats directed towards voters. There were too many stories so it's all of them have been completely made up. If Ivo Sanader became HDZ's party president by the electoral fraud, Karamarko could have, if can partially believe these stories, became the HDZ president by certain manipulations that relate to secret services. As a man who was the top of Croatian secret services, Karamarko probably cause a certain anxiety among average HDZ members. There is a legend that Karamarko has secret drawers where he keeps all material about every HDZ member, so this material could have been used to ''encourage'' every official to bring ''the right decision''.
Among presidential candidates, Karamarko, as it seems, is an alpha male, which all members of herd will defer to. Like Bozidar Kalemta, Gordan Jandrokovic, Andrija Hebrang.... The question is, were they thinking on themselves, or on HDZ and Croatia. The answer isn't hard to guess.