WHO WILL SUCCEED BUSH?

MARCH 9 2007 19:26h

African-American Man, Woman, Italian And Mormon

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Next USA President will probably be elected among African-American man, woman, Mormon and Italian-American who was married three times.

Next year in November, the eight-year long rule of American President George Bush will end. The belligerent Bush, at the head of American administration, might be succeeded by the first woman, first African-american man, first Mormon or the first Italian-American. Prognosis say best chances go to Hillary Clinton and Rudolph Giuliani.

Forthcoming presidential elections will be specific because of two reasons. For the first time in 80 years, USA vice-president will not be elected for the presidential post. Namely, so far, the practice was for the current president facing the end of their second mandate to “nominate” their heir, most often vice-president who would be backed by the parent party.

Apart from that, the 2008 elections will be the most expensive elections in the democratic history of the United States. According to assessments, around a billion dollars will be spent. In order for the candidates to be taken seriously, at least 100 million dollars would have to be collected by the end of year.

Election campaign is already heating up big time, and among 13 candidates of the Democratic and Republican Party, a few names surfaced. They can count on a respectful support of the voters.

Democrats offer woman and coloured man

First New York state senator, Hillary Clinton, in the second place, according to latest polls. If her campaign succeeds, she might be the first female USA president. She was born in 1947 in Arkansas, where her husband Bill Clinton was governor before entering the White House. She married the former American president in 1975, and had daughter Chelsea five years later. Hillary Clinton declares herself as a Methodist.

She won 67 percent in relation to the countering candidate at the Senate elections in the state of New York, but many Democrats protest that she overdid it by spending 36 million dollars.  Clinton has already managed to collect 100 million dollars, with husband Bill helping her most.

In the election campaign, many object to her voting “pro” when it came to war in Afghanistan and Iraq, allowing Bush to do whatever he desires. She replies to the charges that President Bush misused obtained authorities and that she did not expect for the situation in Iraq to get complicated.

At the end of 2005, she announced that the complete withdrawal of troops from Iraq would be a mistake, but that Bush’s intention to stay in this country without a determined dead-line “openly invites Iraqi citizens not to take care of themselves”.

Certain marketing experts consider the greatest shortcoming in Hillary Clinton`s presentation her firmness and coldness.

Second Democratic Party candidate, Barack Hussein Obama, represents a refreshment on the American political scene. With only 45 years of age, he is the youngest candidate at presidential elections that is a member of the United Church of Christ. He was born in Honolulu, Hawaii. His mother is an American from Kansas, and his father returned to Kenya
following a divorce.

In his political career, he orientated himself to several areas, like environmental protection, limiting weapons of mass destruction and immigrant policy. It is exactly immigration that Obama`s weak point of the campaign because a significant part of Democrats object to his support of President Bush at the end of 2006 when it came to the construction of a protective fence more than 1,000 kilometres long, along the USA and Mexico border. The number of illegal entrances into USA territory was attempted to be decreased by physical segregation.

As opposed to senator Clinton, Obama severely objected to war in Iraq, because of which he earned support. In November last year, at a Chicago convention, he said it was time to give back the Iraqi people their country. He proposed withdrawal of American forces, starting from this year, as well as a revival  of diplomatic relations with Syria and Iran. He said of their nuclear programme that the USA should not tolerate it, but put strong diplomatic pressure upon it.

Republicans play it safe

Republican candidate, who surprised many with his managing abilities, is called Rudolph Giuliani. Until 2002 he performed the duty of New York mayor. This 62-year-old Catholic broke through to the very top of American politics following terrorist attacks on World Trade Center in 2001, showing enviable calm and cool-headed pragmatics, thus the Big Apple did not fall into greater chaos. In the period prior to the attack, he decreased crime rate to a low level, because of which he was pronounced the best mayor of a large American city.

Giuliani`s adultery?


In the conservative USA, Giuliani lost numerous supporters before marrying his third wife. While his second wife was laying in the hospital, fighting cancer, he appeared in public with his future wife.

However, authoritarianism is held against him, in running the city while he was in power. A part of Republicans describe him as “too soft” because he supports same-sex marriage, thus winning over the gay voters and a part of the Democratic Party voters. Still, due to homosexuals and the fact he was married three times, Giuliani lost the support of the Baptist community, which has 16 million members throughout USA. Normally, Baptists are one of the agile voting religious machines that regularly vote in large numbers, and have frequently decided on the winner. He has best chances of victory because he has the most colourful electorate.

Vietnam veteran John McCain id the second significant Republican Party candidate. Born near the Panama canal, this 70-year-old Mormon was a prisoner of war for entire five and a half years, from 1967 to 1973, which makes him the most respected candidate. If he wins at the forthcoming  elections, he will be the oldest American president.

What is typical of McCain is that he draws indecisive voters, but also Democratic Party voters, which makes him like Giuliani. Research conducted in January showed that Americans are familiarised with the life and work of John McCain the most. Although he supported war in Iraq, he is one of the rare Republicans who was the least exclusive of those who opposed the war. He drew in liberal voters with supporting the cause for homosexual`s rights and for opposing Bush`s plan to save up 350 billion dollars in a period of 11 years.