FEBRUARY 13 2007 12:05h
Agreement on nuclear disarmament of N. Korea, reached on six-way negotiations, might be a sign of yonder rigid regime weakening.
After age-long delivery troubles, an agreement was reached by which North Korea commits itself to dismantle nuclear drives and give up atomic bombs, eyes of the world are glued to this country with the hope it will, this time, honour the agreement.
In exchange for the first step, closing of the central Yongbyon drive, North Korea will receive 50,000 tons of oil or economic aid of the same value. If it takes further agreed steps and closes all of its drives, it will receive additional million tons of oil or the equivalent of economic aid.
End Of North Korean regime
Still, North Korea did not prove itself to be the most trustworthy negotiator, and with fear and hope the execution of the agreed obligations is expected.
“North Korea is the most extreme form of communism, the kind that none of the countries in the world have. Even Marx and Engels would get a headache here”, said professor Caratan.
“It is a question if this regime reached the end. If it has, then it will honour the agreement. And if it is still strong enough to, in spite of disastrous economical state of this country, stay in power, then it will act as it has so far and trick the agreement”, says prof. dr.sc. Branko Caratan, international relations expert, especially for North Korea, of the Faculty of Political Sciences in Zagreb.
Marx and Engels would get a headache
North Korean economy has been destroyed to the ground on one hand, while on the other, this country executes probably the most rigorous communism in the world.
Agreement from necessity
Six-way negotiations were held on more occasions and, as things stand now, the profit for North Korea is no greater than it was offered until now. For now, security guarantees are not even mentioned in the agreement reports, which North Korea insisted upon. Still, the reason why the communist regime finally caved in seems to be in the economic state of the country.
North Korea is a destroyed economy and 50,000 tons of oil and economic aid does not mean much. They have a rigid communist economic system which simply cannot be efficient. What is more, it has completely failed. Absence of democracy is not only a political but an economic problem. North Korea is constantly in extreme economic problems. This system needs to kneel down sooner or later”, says Caravan, adding that North Korea was “pressured with economic difficulties and on the depth of these difficulties depends the tendency of reaching and honouring the agreement”.